Anthropic exec tells the IMF AI could add $14T to GDP

Jack Clark, a co-founder of Anthropic, spoke to the IMF and World Bank on Oct. 17 in Bangkok. His message: AI could push U.S. GDP to roughly $44 trillion by 2030. That's up from just over $30 trillion today. Even his more cautious scenario lands around $34 trillion. Clark called for new international rules, and said the window to write them is closing fast.

Clark isn't an outside economist. He co-founded Anthropic, which is racing OpenAI and Google to sell the exact AI he's describing. Anthropic is also preparing to go public, in a deal some investors are targeting at up to $2 trillion. A rosy GDP story helps that pitch. None of this means Clark is wrong. AI investment is real, and so is the productivity it's already adding in some industries. A founder's own growth number is different, though. Delivered to the people who regulate him, it deserves more scrutiny than a neutral forecast would.

Keep reading — what to watch

Will policymakers actually write the rules Clark is asking for? Congress has moved slowly on AI so far, even as the technology keeps changing underneath it. If growth this big is really coming, the bigger question is who captures it. Workers could see broad gains, or the money could mostly land in a handful of AI companies' valuations. Both outcomes get described today as 'AI boosting the economy.'